By Anis Bazza
7th November 2018
Chris Hughton’s high-flying Seagulls were downed by Everton last weekend but should find themselves in better company when they visit Cardiff on Saturday afternoon. Read on for our Cardiff vs Brighton predictions and betting tips.
Cardiff vs Brighton: odds and predictions
Neil Warnock’s Bluebirds come into this fixture are the betting favourites, with their odds priced up at 31/20 by the William Hill traders. A victory for Brighton is trading at a 2/1 pick.
A point for each side is wagering at 21/10 in the betting but our Cardiff vs Brighton predictions and betting tips are backing the outsiders to claim all three points.
Sure, the Seagulls might have only recorded their first away victory just a few weeks ago but don’t let that – and the odds – discourage you from backing the Southern side.
Brighton’s recent form has been very good, having recorded three consecutive wins before succumbing to defeat at Everton last weekend.
Three 1-0 victories over West Ham, Newcastle and Wolves has helped propel them up the table and away from the dangerous half of the table.
Cardiff meanwhile find themselves languishing joint bottom with Fulham. While they might have spent a hundred million pounds less in the summer, it does not bode well for Neil Warnock’s side.
Their sole victory of their campaign so far did come at the Cardiff City stadium when they defeated Fulham 4-2 – a game in which they scored nearly half their total amount of league goals – but besides that it’s been miserable for the Bluebirds.
With eight losses and 24 goals conceded and no clean sheets in their last eight games, relegation surely beckons – they remain the betting favourites to go down at 2/5 – unless significant changes are made.
Head-to-head record (most recent first): Brighton and Hove Albion 1-0 Cardiff City, Cardiff City 0-0 Brighton and Hove Albion, Cardiff City 4-1 Brighton and Hove Albion, Brighton and Hove Albion 1-1 Cardiff City, Cardiff City 0-0 Brighton and Hove Albion.
Cardiff vs Brighton match betting: score, best bet, scorer tips
The first instalment of our Cardiff vs Brighton predictions sees us back a win for the Seagulls and under 2.5 goals.
Although coming into the fixture as betting outsiders, Hughton’s men will be quietly confident of getting back to winning ways. They were hugely impressive in October, winning every single Premier League game.
Despite amassing nine points in their last five games, Brighton scored just four times and their total scored goals tally of 12 is less than West Ham – who sit below them in the table – managed. In truth, a under 2.5 goals bet would’ve paid out in four of their last five games.
Cardiff meanwhile have struck just nine times his season, the 5th worst goal-scoring record in the league. Considering four of those game in a single game, a Brighton win and under 2.5 goals at enticing odds of 4/1 should definitely be worth your consideration.
Goal-scorer prediction: Glenn Murray to score anytime at 6/4
The Englishman has been remarkably efficient in front of goal this season managing six goals from just 14 shots – a 42% conversion rate.
While that obscenely high conversion rate should naturally drop, there’s no doubt the 6″2″ target man makes the very most of the scraps he’s fed.
But with just two strikes in his last six appearances, Murray seems well overdue to get on the scoresheet. Having already amassed half the amount of league goals he scored last season in just 10 appearances, our Cardiff vs Brighton predictions and betting tips are backing him to score anytime at odds of 6/4.
Cardiff vs Brighton stats: Opta
- Cardiff and Brighton have never faced before in the top-flight of English football, making this the fourth new top-flight fixture this season (Bournemouth vs Cardiff, Brighton vs Fulham and Bournemouth vs Fulham the others).
- Cardiff are without a clean sheet in their last eight Premier League games, shipping 22 goals in total and losing seven of those matches (W1).
- Brighton have won just one of their last 19 Premier League matches away from home (D5 L13), with that victory coming against Newcastle last month.
- 33% of Brighton’s Premier League away victories have been in Wales (1/3 – 1-0 vs Swansea in November 2017).
- Only Eden Hazard, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Sergio Aguero (7 each) have scored more Premier League goals than Brighton’s Glenn Murray this season (6).
Anis grew up supporting Manchester City but found joy and solace across Europe’s major football leagues. Increasingly passionate about NBA, he is interested in and has written extensively about many different aspects of sport across the years, previously working at Sky Sports News and Sport360 newspaper in Dubai. He studied Sport Journalism at University but spent a large portion of his academic years building City Watch instead - the largest independent Manchester City Twitter account and website.