Politics
London Mayoral Election: Latest odds
The London mayoral election is one of the biggest events in British politics and with this year’s election taking place on Thursday 2nd May, there is not long to wait until the big day.
The London mayor is elected via a first-past-the-post voting system, the same system used in general elections. This means simply that whichever candidate receives the most votes will win the election.
Voters will be able to cast their ballots between 7am and 10pm this Thursday, with the results revealed at City Hall on Saturday 4th May.
We take a look at the leading candidates for the 2024 London mayoral election below.
Bet on Politics at William Hill
Sadiq Khan – Labour 1/25
Sadiq Khan is the runaway favourite for this year’s London mayoral election and it would be a huge upset were the Labour candidate not to win the vote for a third consecutive time.
Khan and Labour have held power over London since he took office in 2016, winning the role back from the Tories who had been in power under Boris Johnson for the previous eight years.
At the first time of asking, Khan won by a slim margin over Zac Goldsmith as he managed to gain 44.2% of votes, whilst the Tory candidate fell just short with 35%. 2019 wasn’t much easier as his vote share fell to 40%, but with new Tory challenger Shaun Bailey only managing to pick up 35.3%, Khan was re-elected.
A 2024 victory looks much more of a formality, with the Labour candidate an incredibly short priced 1/25-chance to retain his seat, whilst early polls estimate him to land around 44% of the electorate.
Susan Hall – Conservative 8/1
Susan Hall of the Conservative Party appears to be Sadiq Khan’s only true challenger this year, but the former Leader of the Conservative Group on the London Assembly will need something close to a miracle if she is to be elected.
With a scrapping of the ULEZ expansion at the forefront of her manifesto which she launched last week, Hall is clearly not scared to tackle Khan on some of the issues which have become synonymous with his time in office.
Early polls have the Tory candidate gaining around 26% of the vote, meaning she has a lot of ground to make up in just a few days if she is to truly challenge Khan and make good on her 8/1 odds to win the London mayoral election.
Zoë Garbett – Green 150/1
It looks as though Zoë Garbett will have to settle for a best of the rest finish at this year’s London mayoral election as her odds of 125/1 suggest that she is in with little to no chance of turning London Green in 2024.
Garbett has gone one step further than Hall when it comes to London transport reforms and, in what looks like a “Hail Mary” attempt to win a few more nods from the environmentally inclined voters, has promised to make central London car-free by 2028 if she is elected.
Whilst this is unlikely to get her any closer to winning the election, her odds of 8/11 to finish third certainly can’t be ignored as she looks to sweep up the majority of what is left after Labour and the Conservatives have taken their share of the votes.
