Golf
Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2025 Predictions
The DP World Tour returns to the Middle East this week for one of its marquee events, the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, staged once again at the stunning Yas Links Golf Club.
The course
The course is a par 72 stretching over 7,400 yards along the Persian Gulf, and it demands control of trajectory, spin, and temperament.. The course is a links-style layout built in the desert, featuring firm fairways, deep bunkering, and rolling greens that can be tricky to hold when the wind blows.
The coastal breezes often turn this into a mental test as much as a physical one, rewarding players who flight their irons well and maintain patience when conditions shift.
Statistically, Yas Links tends to reward elite ball strikers and strong putters rather than big hitters. Players who can control their approaches, scramble efficiently when needed, and hole out confidently on the slick greens usually rise to the top.
With that in mind, here are three golfers who stand out from a betting perspective this week.
Tyrrell Hatton – 13/2
Few players have a stronger record in the UAE than Tyrrell Hatton, who has consistently performed across the Middle East swing.
His fiery competitiveness, combined with pinpoint iron play, makes him a genuine contender whenever precision and patience are required. Hatton’s record at Yas Links is excellent, including a runner-up finish last year, and his comfort in the wind and on fast greens gives him a clear edge.
If he can get the putting going, he’s more than capable of going one better this time. He looks a good value each-way bet at current odds of 13/2.
Matt Fitzpatrick – 12/1
Matt Fitzpatrick continues to thrive in conditions that require precision and mental toughness, and Yas Links suits his all-round game perfectly.
His combination of tidy driving, sharp iron play, and one of the most reliable putting strokes on tour make him a consistent threat here. Fitzpatrick’s ability to handle gusty, links-like set-ups has been proven time and again, from the Open Championship to his success on coastal layouts in Europe and the US. With recent form showing several top 10s, he looks a good each-way bet at around 12/1.
Marco Penge – 22/1
For a more speculative pick, Marco Penge represents real value. The powerful Englishman has enjoyed a breakout year, already posting multiple wins on the DP World Tour.
He ranks highly in both driving distance and greens in regulation — two key metrics for Yas Links. While less experienced in elite company, his confidence and recent form make him an intriguing outsider. If he keeps the ball in play and handles the pressure, he has the game to surprise a few big names this week.
At bigger odds of 22/1, he looks good value to at least hit the places and could give punters a nice reward if he can get his head in.
*Odds subject to change – prices accurate at the time of writing*
