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Nic Ladds 18th Oct 2009 - 5:01

Another away defeat to leave Coyle baffled

Things do not look so good for Burnley in this Lancashire derby as they are yet to win away and odds of 41/10 say they can do it away at Blackburn who are as short at 8/11 to see of their local rivals.

Owen Coyle must be baffled as to how his side can beat the likes of Everton and Man Utd at home then get trounced every time they go away - figures of played four, lost four, goals for zero and goals against 14 show how woeful they have been when leaving the comfort of Turf Moor.

It would take a brave man though to pile in to Rovers at 8/11 although in what is sure to be a fiercely contested game but Sam Allardyce is the right man to ready a team for such a battle and the stats don't look good for Burnley, even to nick a draw at 12/5.

Rovers have lost just one of their last 10 league games at Ewood Park, and they have won five and lost none of their last six meetings with Burnley and as a result Blackburn/Blackburn in the double result market is priced accordingly at 9/5, with draw/Blackburn 3/1 while draw/Burnley is a big 17/2.

The Clarets have been battered by score lines of 4-0 and 5-0 this season but Rovers are not the same attacking for as Liverpool or Tottenham and 1-0 (5/1), 2-0 (13/2) or 2-1 (13/2) to the home side look more like it, while a 0-0 draw may be fancied by some as this could be low scoring at 15/2 while if you fancy the opposite, Burnley to nick it in a 3-2 thriller is available at 33/1.

It is hard to say exactly where the Blackburn goals will come from but David Dunn looks as good a bet as any with three goals this season so far and penalty duties which makes him appealing at 9/1 for first goal, while big defender Christopher Samba can often get amongst it and he is 6/1 to score anytime.

Franco di Santo could be employed alone up front but he is yet to score this season and the 6/1 does not overly appeal while Benni McCarthy also 6/1 could well start on the bench and Rovers biggest goal threats to look like they will come from midfield.

The question begs then if anyone can be the hero and score Burnley's first away goal? David Nugent and Steven Fletcher have both shown they can score at home so either of these should be able to do it away at 15/2 and 8/1 respectively for first goal, while Graham Alexander has penalty duties and 6/1 says he can score anytime.

If you do fancy Burnley to get another beating then not they have been behind by half time in all four away game this season so Blackburn at 11/8 in the half time betting could have you collecting with only 45 minutes gone.

Coyle will not have to say much to get his team fired up for this derby with many more local lads than Rovers and perhaps that could ignite some spark to see them on to victory, if not they can at least score and both teams to find the net at 5/6 looks a good bet.

They say form goes out the window in derby matches but Burnley's away form is just too poor to ignore and Blackburn look a little skinny at 8/11 to get too excited about but they should win and leave Owen Coyle still searching for reasons why his heroes at home are zeros away.

Recommendation:
Blackburn to be winning at half time - 11/8

Blackburn to win 2-1 - 13/2

 
 
 

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