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Rupert Wyman 7th Apr 2010 - 8:55

He who dares wins! Bayern can bag it.

Last weekend, Carlo Ancelotti dared to beat United and won, he omitted a world class player in Drogba from his line-up, to play with a sole target-man in Anelka.

Chelsea deservedly won 2-1, putting them back at the summit of the Premier League.  In Germany the Red's won, Bayern Munich went away to Schalke and claimed a 2-1 victory.

Bayern are invigorated and spurred on to beat United. Not only by their success last week, they have the belief that they can win at Old Trafford.

They are on an upward trend and the inconsistency that has hampered them earlier this season will soon be forgotten should they qualify.

The pendulum is swinging in favour of the Germans. Man Utd are Rooney-less, Rooney was seen in the box at the weekend against Chelsea, just not the right one!

He was in the stand with the wags and hangers-on. United have not got him where he is potent, on the field.

There was the return of Macheda for United on Saturday and he managed to score a fortuitous goal. He could become some player in seasons to come. However, he is a raw talent and is not Wayne Rooney.

Sir Alex has some important decisions to ponder concerning his match selection, the illusion that United are the masters of their own destiny is foolhardy. The core of the squad is ageing and they are starting to look lethargic as the season progresses.

They don't miss Ronaldo, yet that is only when Rooney is starting. The eighty million pounds that they received for Ronaldo was clever business but it has not yet been invested, if it ever will!

Pre Man Utd against Chelsea, I stated that Malouda would run rings around Gary Neville. Should Neville start again tomorrow, Bayern Munich will target him as a potential weakness.  If Rafael da Silva starts at left back, his poor defensive acumen is only countered by his pace.

Sir Alex has a number of long-term injury concerns, including Michael Owen, Anderson and Wes Brown. Hargreaves is slowly working his way back to fitness but is ineligible in Europe.

For Louis Van Gaal's Bayern, Arjen Robben who missed the first leg through injury should start and travels with the squad. Schweinsteiger is back after missing the game last week through suspension.

Man Utd are 3/4 to win in 90 minutes, I would not back them currently at this price, it is too short after such an intense game at the weekend and their current lack of firepower. I cannot see Bayern winning (19/5), but the 5/2 for the draw looks tempting.

Man Utd will attack and the flutter that appeals most is the Match Treble, Draw, Over 12 Corners and Over 6 Cards at 33/1. I can see the match being evenly contested and without Rooney, United will struggle for goals.

With Bayern's Robben and Ribery and United's Nani and Park Ji Sung playing on the flanks, there is the potential for plenty of corners as the host's attack and the German's counter. The over six card count takes account of the strop the likes of Gary Neville, Ferdinand and others will display if United lose contentious decisions or if Bayern score a few away goals. They follow their manager and as usual when the pressure starts to bite, the Reds show their true colors.

The Total Man Utd Cards Over 3 at 18/5 appeals, neutrals commend Sir Alex's expansive attacking football, but they are only admired and not loved because they are not dignified in defeat. Man Utd's true colors could be on show at Old Trafford.

With the away goal, the tie still slightly favours Sir Alex, yet success for United should not be taken for granted in a tournament that loves to surprise.  Sadly for Sir Alex much has been made about the famous Champions League final of 1999 where United won in style late on and for Bayern that memory cuts deep.

Take advantage of our special offer at William Hill Online, place £20 or more on the Bayern Munich v Manchester Utd match betting (90 minutes) market and we'll reward you with a £10 free first goal scorer bet on the same game.



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