Liverpool's resurgence to continue in Europe
Roy Hodgson has pledged to field a strong team against Napoli, despite the fact they top Group K and welcome Chelsea to Anfield on Sunday.
Whether Liverpool's already thin squad can handle two matches in quick succession remains to be seen, but they should have enough to see off Napoli here. However Roy Hodgson could regret "not resting too many" against Chelsea.
Liverpool (10/11) have put together back-to-back wins in the league since the 0-0 stalemate away in Napoli and look like they are slowly turning round their previously terrible form.
Napoli (16/5) lost at home to AC Milan and also won away at Brescia since these two sides last met. They are a lot higher in their respective league than Liverpool though, they are 5th while Liverpool are currently 13th.
Napoli should not be underestimated by any means though, despite their disappointing showing at home.
They have Edison Cavani up front who is in red-hot form this season in front of goal, six in nine games and he can be backed at 13/2 to score first.
The same 13/2 is also available on Ezequiel Lavezzi, one of Europe's hottest prospects. The Argentine international already has three goals this season and is always a threat.
The other main threat is Marek Hamsyk, the Slovakian attacking midfielder has managed a double-figure goal tally in each of the last three seasons and has four this season. For a midfielder, the 15/2 on him to score first may not be the best price in the world so I would personally look at the 9/4 anytime.
As you can see from those three players, and they aren't the only ones, Napoli are not to be underestimated and they possess a real goal threat.
If you fancy Napoli to cause an upset I would be wary of another draw so would back the 7/4 Napoli draw no bet or the 3/4 on Napoli and the draw in the double chance.
If Liverpool line up with a similar team that played away in Napoli, the David N'Gog could be used in attack and he is 6/1 to score first and has been impressive this season.
Jonjo Shelvey, the promising youngster from Charlton, made his first start against Napoli and at 11/2 to score anytime might be worth an outside punt as he showed some glimpses of real class.
In terms of a correct score bet I think Napoli will be able to score but Liverpool should just edge it, with The Kop spurring them on. I recommend the 2-1 scoreline that seems value at 15/2 to me.
If this match was played a month ago when Liverpool were really low on confidence and performing badly then I think Napoli would fancy their chances but with domestic glory already out of reach for Liverpool, Hodgson must now focus hit attentions to Europe and a win here could almost confirm their place in the knockout phase.