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P.J. Murray 17th Apr 2011 - 16:15

Rams to the slaughter

Derby travel to Loftus Road with history on their side, but so far the present hasn't been as kind to them.

The 2-2 draw between these sides at Pride Park in the beginning of the season has been hailed as the catalyst for QPR's ascendancy as it extended the Hoop's unbeaten run and showed a character that they had been lacking.

The Rs are 8/15 to beat Derby and if results go their way they could be promoted on Thursday night. Derby are 11/2 to beat QPR and spoil the party. The Rams have yet to taste defeat on the road against QPR but on current form that run could end. Interestingly QPR's last win at home against Derby came in 1982, the year they achieved promotion to the old Division One.

The Londoners are unbeaten in nine home games, their latest match at Loftus Road ended in a 3-0 win over relegation candidates Sheffield United.

Derby will be buoyed by the fact they beat a strong Leeds side 2-1 at Pride Park, but overall this season their away form has been poor with only five wins on their travels.

Player of the year nominee Adel Taarabt scored the winning goal against Barnsley last week and the Moroccan is 4/1 to score the first goal on Monday night. Heidar Helguson is only two goals away from netting his 100th league goal and the Icelandic striker is 4/1 to score two or more goals.

We have enhanced the price on William Hill's resident football pundit Robbie Savage to score at anytime, you can back the Welsh wonder at 10/1 to hit the net.

Alberto Bueno is one of the 19 goalscorers for Derby this season and he is 8/1 to score first and 11/4 to score anytime during the match.

Their last meeting ended 2-2 and you can back over 3.5 goals in this match at 21/10 and a correct score of 2-2 at 18/1.

The Hoops are 29/20 to start with a goal handicap while they are 19/5 to start minus two goals and with their home form as it is it's hard to see past them scoring a few goals.

QPR have been dominant at home and have rarely dropped a lead, they are 11/8 to be leading at half-time and win the game in our double result markets.

Derby are 10/1 to replicate the QPR result in the meeting at Pride Park and to come from behind and draw.

With form playing so much part in QPR's season it is hard to see past them beating Derby at home, I would be backing QPR -1 goal at 29/20 and expect a goal fest with over 3.5 goals at 21/10.



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