Tuesday's Round 5 Champions League Betting Previews -
The international break is over, we've seen another round of domestic fixtures take place and now it's time to settle down and pick your bets in the UEFA Champions League. Don't know what to bet on? Read on and I'll try to point you in the right direction.
It's a big ask, but Neil Lennon's Celtic (9/5) side can still qualify for the next round of the Champions League. Of course, to stand any chance at all they'll have to beat an AC Milan (6/4) side that will be without Kaka and Shaarawy.
Good news for the Celts, then, but the bad news for the Scottish side is that they've failed to score in five of their last six Champions League games, making under 2.5 goals an attractive proposition when you consider that, Balotelli aside, the Italian side are missing their best attackers.
Now, AC Milan can seal their progression to the next round should they win at Parkhead and Barcelona win at Ajax, but the Rossoneri have only won two of their last seventeen away games in UEFA's flagship tourney, recording two draws and two losses win they've faced Scottish opposition.
Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals (3/4)
Wenger's Gunners are currently top of Group F, but are by no means guaranteed a spot in the knockout stages of the Champions League with second placed Napoli also having nine points and third placed Borussia Dortmund - the 2012/13 tournament runners up - sitting in third spot with six.
Victory against a Marseille (12/1) side that are winless in this season's Champions League is very much the expectancy for Arsenal (1/4) here, but at 1/4 they are far too short to recommend, forcing me to look elsewhere for value.
Value, I hope, comes in the form of under 2.5 goals. Why? Well, last month Arsenal became the first side ever to keep a clean sheet against Napoli in the Champions League, winning 2-0, the Gunners last six games - in all competitions - have all contained less than three goals and last season's encounter between the two - at the Emirates - ended in a 0-0 stalemate.
All in all, a 2-0 Arsenal win - priced at 11/2 - sounds about right should you fancy a correct score.
Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals (11/8)
Jose Mourinho's Chelsea (5/6) currently occupy top spot in Group E, three points clear of second placed Schalke and four ahead of their opponents on Tuesday evening, Swiss side Basel (7/2). Should the London side beat Basel they'll qualify for the knockout stages of the UEFA Champions League.
Put simply, whilst Basel have only lost once in their seven meetings with English opposition in Europe, I expect a motivated Chelsea to exact revenge for their surprising 2-1 defeat at the Bridge and have backed them to do so.
Should you want alternative bets, the last three meetings between these two teams - all in 2013 - have contained ten goals in total, with both sides scoring in each tie. Over 2.5 goals is currently priced at 10/11, with both teams to score available at 4/5.
Recommendation: Chelsea (5/6)