Upset on the cards for Atletico?
After their pathetic performance away to Hercules last Monday night, seventh placed Atletico Madrid (4/5) get an opportunity to redeem their selves at home to travel shy Mallorca (10/3). Will Los Colchoneros do what they are supposed to and take all three points or is another upset on the cards?
Certainly not an upset was Mallorca's 4-1 home defeat of Almeria last weekend. Prior to that game the islanders had been eliminated from the Copa Del Rey by Almeria, surprisingly losing 4-3 both times.
Given how good Mallorca are at home - 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats - Laudrup's boys losing at home to the same team twice in a row seemed highly unlikely, and so it proved.
On the scoresheet for the Barralets last weekend were Ramis, Victor, Nsue and Pereira. Out of the three, Pereira (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime) is seemingly your best bet to score as he has netted one in each of his last three games.
However, though neither has scored recently, Castro (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime) and Webo (15/2 to score first, 9/4 anytime) are viable alternatives. Each has scored four league goals so far this season.
After I recommended him twice in a row, the previously red hot Kun Aguero failed to score in either the listless defeat to Hercules or the hard fought loss to Real Madrid in the cup.
Certainly Aguero was unlucky not to have scored in enemy territory, and he certainly should have been awarded a potentially game changing penalty with the match still in the balance.
Alas it was not to be and sadly the Argentine will not get a chance to score tonight as a hamstring tear keeps him on the sidelines for around ten days. More than likely, Kun will also miss the return leg of the cup quarter final with Real Madrid.
Against Real Madrid and Mallorca, I'll be going for World Cup Golden Ball winner Diego Forlan. Part of the reason I recommended Aguero was because Forlan had been either injured or out of form recently.
No Forlan meant more goalscoring responsibility on the shoulders of Aguero. No Aguero means the reverse. Forlan (4/1 to score first, evens anytime) did, however, score against Real though so I would have switched to him anyway. All Aguero's injury does is add further weight to backing Diego in my eyes.
There is still massive doubt over the 90 minute market though as Atletico have occasionally let punters down when short priced at home (0-0 with Racing last time out) and will surely have one eye on their midweek second leg cup tie with Real at the Vicente Calderon.
Mallorca will be aware of Atletico's likely preoccupation with the cup and would move above their hosts and Athletic Bilbao into sixth position if they were to win tonight.
Atletico keeper David De Gea is in great form, but all of the above sounds like reason enough to take a chance on Mallorca pulling off another away upset like they did by drawing with barca and beating Valencia and Sevilla.
The islanders can certainly score tonight so, although it's very short priced, backers of the both teams to score market should consider the "Yes" option at 13/20. I fancy chancing a 2-1 to Mallorca scoreline for a small punt at 11/1 and the 7/10 priced over 2.5 goals ties in with that.
As I fancy Forlan to score, I'm also willing to chance a couple of quid on the 90/1 scorecast of Diego scoring first and Mallorca winning 2-1. For fifty pence (I'm not joking!) I'll also try the highly unlikely same first scorer and 3-2 to the visitors, mainly because of the astonishingly high 230/1 price.
Will I be very wrong or very right? Tune into Sky Sports Extra online at 20:00 to find out.
Main recommendations: Diego Forlan e/w first scorer (4/1) and Mallorca 90 minute win (10/3).
Whatever you choose, enjoy the action and don't forget that you can always monitor the game and bet in-play at Williamhill.com