Weekend La Liga previews
A little word from your writer:
Sincere apologies that the previews are so short this week. I've moved house up into the hills (great view of the beach!) and am without an internet connection or indeed a television that allows me to see the matches. Quite honestly, I have not even been able to see most of the goals from last weekend's games and I'm seriously pushed for time at the moment. Anyway, all of this will change soon so back to normal next week.
Saturday, 6 November 2010:
Despite having only two shots on target, Sociedad (11/10) beat Malaga 2-1 at La Rosaleda last weekend. Scoring for the Basque's were Griezmann (7/1 to score first, 2/1 anytime) and Llorente.
Llorente's goal was his first of the season and anyone looking for a scorer today should look to him. He is priced at 9/2 to score the first goal or 6/5 to net one at anytime.
Scoring for Racing (5/2) in their impressive 4-1 home defeat of Osasuna were Bakircioglu, Torrejon and, with a brace, Rosenberg (6/1 to score first, 7/4 anytime).
Put simply, home form should count for everything in this match.
Recommendation: Sociedad (11/10)
A surprising 3-0 defeat away to Deportivo was the result for Espanyol (10/11) last weekend. Nothing positive I can say about that, but the Catalans will expect to get back on track and continue their 100% home record against a Malaga team who sacked their manager last weekend.
The Anchovies 2-1 home defeat at the hands of Real Sociedad was the final nail in the coffin of Jesualdo Ferreira and Malaga (16/5) will now turn to Manuel Pellegrini to get them out of the relegation zone.
While I don't think that Ferreira was given long enough, Malaga could not have asked for a better manager in Pellegrini. Whether the Chilean can meet the owners expectations long term depends on the backing he is given in the transfer market. In the short term, I'd fully expect him to get his new charges into mid table.
As for tonight's match, despite the fact that this looks like a "nailed on" home win, Malaga are a strange team and a new coach often wins his first game in charge.
On that basis I'm going to take a chance on an upset.
Worth a punt: Malaga (16/5)
Sunday, 7 November 2010:
Due to a Pablo Piatti (6/1 to score first, 7/4 anytime) wonder striker, Juan Manuel Lillo survived the projected chop and left the Vicente Calderon with a point after drawing 1-1 with Atletico Madrid.
If not for the world class form of their keeper, Diego Alves, Almeria (11/10) would have lost about 7-1! If Alves continues playing like this, he surely won't be playing at the club beyond this season.
This afternoon's opponents, 15th placed Sporting Gijon (13/5), drew 1-1 with Villarreal last weekend and, given that 10 man Villarreal equalised in the 90th minute, will consider their selves unlucky not to have taken all three points.
I don't, however, think that Sporting will take any points today and expect Almeria to win a close game.
Recommendation: Almeria (11/10)
After taking the lead through the red hot Stuani (11/2 to score first, 6/4 anytime), Levante eventually lost 2-1 away to Michael Laudrup's Mallorca last weekend.
Nobody expected Levante to win on the Island, but most people will expect them to win tonight. However, I'm not so sure as Depor have momentum after finally getting their first win of the season last weekend.
Lotina's Deportivo (12/5) crushed Espanyol by three goals to nil at the Riazor, with Adrian (7/1 to score first, 15/8 anytime), Lopo and Colotto (20/1 to score first, 11/2 anytime) the scorers. Can't say that I can pick a favourite out of those three but, where available, their prices are on show should you wish to choose one of them.
I expect Levante (5/4) to win today but, given my concerns over Deportivo's upturn in fortune, will avoiding choosing the 90 minute outcome and instead bet on the scorers market.
Worth a punt: Stuani, e/w first scorer (11/2)
Camacho's Osasuna (11/10) were hammered 4-1 in Santander last weekend and will be expected to redeem their selves against Hercules tonight.
Perhaps Osasuna's scorer in that game, Nekounam (9/1 to score first, 10/3 anytime) can help the Pamplona based club get three points tonight.
Hercules (13/5) played valiantly, but lost 3-1 at home to Real Madrid last weekend. Scoring for the Alicante based club was David Trezeguet (11/2 to score first, 6/4 anytime).
However, if you are considering backing a Hercules scorer tonight, bear in mind that Trezeguet has scored all of his goals at home. Valdez (15/2 to score first, 9/4 anytime) has scored home and away so he might be a better choice for this game.
In the 90 minute market I'm tempted to go for a draw (11/5) but, after being defeated away in previous fixtures, Osasuna seem to rebound from disappointment very well at home so I'll trust them today.
Recommendation: Osasuna (11/10)
In their 1-1 draw away to Valencia last weekend, Senor Gay's boys took the lead through Lanzaro (33/1 to score first, 12/1 anytime), and conceded their lead through Lanzaro!
Own goal aside, Lanzaro had a good game and he and his colleagues will expect to get their first home win of the season at home to the usually travel shy Mallorca.
Laudrup's Mallorca (11/5) came from behind to beat Levante 2-1 at Son Moix last Monday night. The islanders have Pereira (15/2 to score first, 9/4 anytime) and Webo (13/2 to score first, 15/8 anytime) to thank for this.
I think it's about time that Zaragoza won their first game of the season so I'm prepared to gamble that they will today.
Recommendation: Zaragoza (13/10)
Down to 10 men and a goal down, The Yellow submarines escaped Gijon with a point thanks to Rossi's (9/2 to score first, 6/5 anytime) late penalty.
Back at home and presuming they can keep 11 men on the pitch, Villarreal (5/6) will expect to beat Athletic tonight.
By virtue of goals from Iraola, San Jose and Gabilondo (10/1 to score first, 7/2 anytime), Athletic (7/2) cruised past Getafe 3-0 last weekend.
To my disappointment, Llorente (13/2 to score first, 15/8 anytime) was not amongst the scorers.
Bar Rossi, I'm not betting on the scorers and am content punting on the 90 minute market: Sounds like a home win to me.
Recommendation: Villarreal (5/6)
Defeated 3-0 away to Athletic last weekend, Getafe will be pleased to be back at home this weekend, but they won't be pleased to be playing Barcelona (4/11).
Barcelona beat Sevilla 5-0 at the Nou Camp last weekend, but disappointingly drew 1-1 with FC Copenhagen in the Champions League midweek.
Could be a chance for Getafe (7/1) to get something out of tonight's game with the champions in such slippery form you might argue. Personally, I doubt it and prefer to punt on the same bet that keeps on winning week after week.
I could very well have cursed this bet after saying that, but what else has a high chance of coming off at a reasonable price when Barca are involved?
Recommendation: Wincast of Messi scores first and Barcelona win (16/5)
After going a goal down, Jose's Real Madrid (3/10) beat Hercules 3-1 in Alicante last weekend. In the Champions league midweek, Los Blancos came from behind to draw 2-2 with Ac Milan.
What does this say to us? It says that Real can never be considered as beaten, however much they may be losing by and however much time they have left to avoid defeat.
As for this evening's derby with cross City rivals Atletico: Real beat Atletico 99/100 at the Bernabeu, so why should tonight be any different?
I don't think it will be and am very displeased with Atletico (9/1), who had 29 shots on goal at home to Almeria last weekend but could only draw 1-1.
Aguero (11/1 to score first, 4/1 anytime) scored Atleti's goal and he is my suggestion should you wish to bet on an Atletico scorer tonight.
Both teams to score (13/20) and over 2.5 goals (4/11) usually provide winners in this game. Short prices though, your choice.
Worth a punt: Aguero, anytime scorer (4/1)
Monday, 8 November 2010:
Forget the 3-0 midweek Champions league defeat of Rangers, Valencia (11/5) are in a mini crisis after drawing 1-1 at home to Zaragoza last weekend. Worse still, Los Che only drew with Zaragoza because of an own goal!
While Sevilla (6/5) were thrashed 5-0 in Barcelona last weekend, home advantage is key in La Liga and the Rojiblancos will expect to beat Valencia in the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan this evening.
I think that Sevilla will win this matchup but from a personal standpoint, I prefer to bet on over 2.5 goals (8/11) and both teams to score (8/13).
As to who will score: Nobody is in great form for Sevilla, but Fabiano (5/1 to score first, 5/4 anytime) and Kanoute (13/2 to score first, 15/8 anytime) each scored a brace in Sevilla's 4-3 defeat of Athletic a couple of weeks ago.
Like the Sevilla strikers, Valencia's Soldado (7/1 to score first, 2/1 anytime) also scored a brace, just more recently in the pre-mentioned defeat of Rangers in Europe.
This should be a goal filled game, so enjoy the action and don't forget that you can bet in-play with William Hill Online.