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Nic Ladds 11th Nov 2009 - 18:08

Bank on Duval to pull off some magic at Disney

In what is potentially such a crucial tournament where players look to retain their Tour cards punters may be stunned by the face we are putting up David Duval to get competitive in the Children's Miracle Network Classic.

It is common knowledge that for those already safe for next season that this is often many a players' favourite tournament as it is played on the Palm and Magnolia courses at the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida meaning it is a wonderful weekend out for all the family.

Looking at Duval's record this year, punters would most likely rather be on Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck caddying than the American but at 200/1, we expect a big show from a man who has clearly lost his way.

Backing Duval is a move done purely on the reasoning that he often seems to come good when he needs to and this former Open champion has won this tournament back in 1997 and from nowhere this year came 2nd in the US Open to show he can still do it and to retain his tour card a big performance is needed here and at a course he can play on 200/1 is a price worth taking.

"Pull your head out the clouds and give us a realistic runner" I hear you cry, so to bring us back down to earth (although why would you want to be when we're at Disneyland), we are overlooking market leaders Zach Johnson (14/1) and Justin Leonard (16/1) who look a little short, as does wonderkid Rickie Fowler (20/1) and attentions are put on to Heath Slocum (25/1).

Slocum seems to like playing in Florida which is often key to a golfer's performance (the liking of an area not Florida specifically), and has played well here in the past, most notably with a finish of 9 in 2007 and has proved he can close a tournament by winning The Barclays and has looked in good nick for the most part recently so looks sure to be in the mix at 25/1.

Interestingly in this tournament, nearly all the winners are American (9 of last 12) and half of the last 12 winners have been priced at 50/1 or over  and at this course putting has often been the key thing to get right so step forward 66/1 chance, Chris Riley.

Riley's form has picked up in the second half of the season having made the cut in his last nine outings which includes a top 10 and three further top 20 finishes. He is tenth in the putting stats and those looking for someone who fits the bill perfectly for a typical winner of this tournament need look no further.

This is the last event on the PGA Tour and a last chance for many to still be in action with the big boys next season so expect frayed nerves and late surges on the final day and hopefully you will be celebrating along with Micky, Donald and Mr Duval that you have backed a 200/1 winner.

Don't forget William Hill are offering 1/4 for the first five places and that there is a cracking free bet offer on the UBS Hong Kong Open.


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