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Michael Taylor 17th Mar 2010 - 14:28

Rose smells of value at 40/1 for Transitions Championship

In terms of an all-round golfer Justin Rose has it all.

The South African born Englishman can be accurate and lengthy off the tee, a great approach player and he swings a putter as well as anybody from this side of the Atlantic.

All of these facets were recognisable from the moment he broke on to the scene at the 1998 Open and wowed everybody with an unbelievable fourth place finish, as an amateur.

However, since then it seems little has really changed for Rose other than he's got a few more quid in his pocket and his stock as one of the greatest prospects around has fallen dramatically.

He still puts the odd mind-blowing round together, such as the magnificent, course record tying 64 that he produced on the final day of The Honda Classic a fortnight ago but, in general, he's a middle of the pack sort of guy on the PGA Tour.

Fortunately, this week he travels to Palm Harbour in Florida for the Transitions Championship and he'll feel confident of making a real statement in a tournament that has treated him well through the years.

He may never have won the event but with just a little more luck he could quite easily have on more than one occasion, plus he's certainly never been forced to find other activities to keep him entertained during Saturday and Sunday.

His best finish is tied 14, his worst finish is tied 30th in his four years at the event and I just feel this could be the year he pushes on especially after seeing how well he read the greens in the second half of the Honda Classic.

I'm sure, like many, that a few pre-tournament bets on Rose have come back to bite me in the past but at 40/1 I reckon he's the value bet in a field that includes several big names, none of whom arrive in particularly good form.

One that falls perfectly into that category is the defending champion Retief Goosen who failed to make any sort of noise in last week's World Golf Championship despite being one of the favourites for success.

Saying this though, I just don't feel ready to let him go this week given his brilliant record at Innisbrook in which he has claimed two of his seven PGA Tour titles.

He had also been enjoying good success prior to last week with three top tens from his last four appearances, so when he failed to make any sort of strides on the leaderboard it came as quite an annoyance.

If he can find his best somewhere along the line this week then he should have every chance of making it a hat-trick of victories and he's definitely worth a little tournament outright bet at 25/1.

Further down the betting though I think I could have found a real each-way gem in Florida native George McNeill who is an absolute steal at 80/1.

McNeill may be an under-the-radar sort of guy but he thrives on the fairways of the Sunshine State and his recent twelfth place finish in the Honda Classic is testament to this.

In all fairness with the results he has produced this year he deserves consideration with three top 25 finishes and one top ten, a brilliant fifth in the Northern Trust Open.

His usual pattern is a strong start and a weak closing half to the week, all he needs is one extra strong round and a second title could be added to the Frys.com trophy he won back in 2007.



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