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Antony Heath 23rd Sep 2011 - 16:25

Man City Aguero-ing to win easily

Man City v Everton

12:45 - live on Sky Sports 2

In the Premier League's early kick-off Man City will be eager to claim the 3 points that will see them sit at the summit, even if they only stop keep the position warm for their city rivals ahead of their evening fixture at the Britannia.

In recent seasons Everton (15/2) have been somewhat of a bogey team for Man City (2/5, Draw 3/1) as they have come out with 7 victories in 8 matches, including last season's double. City manager Mancini will be keen to end his sides hoodoo and keep the pressure on the other title challengers. The expectation will all be on City but they have shown in their home fixtures so far that they can handle it, anything less than a convincing Man City win will be a huge surprise

City should be on maximum points with United but let a 2-0 lead slip at Craven Cottage, however at the City of Manchester Stadium it should be a different prospect and if Man City can get a 2-0 half time lead (11/2) they would go on to win by 4 (16/1) or 5 (40/1).

Sergio Aguero continued to defy the logic that you need time to settle in to English football as he banged in his seventh and eighth goals of an already impressive campaign. He will be fresh after sitting out the Carling Cup victory against Birmingham and could be good value to find the back of the net (10/3 first, 4/5 anytime). Another City player worth keeping an eye on is Yaya Toure, he found the back of Everton's net in both league fixtures last season and is 7/2 to repeat that.

On the Everton front they beat Man City 2-1 in both fixtures last season (18/1 to make it a hattrick of 2-1 wins) and despite some good loan signings in the transfer window you have to think their recent dominance over City is set to come to an end. The Toffees have been in good form however and are unbeaten in five but were taken the 120 minute distance in their Carling Cup victory.

Tim Cahill has been a particular thorn in the side of City having netted at the Etihad Stadium in his last 3 fixtures and is 10/3 anytime to do so again. Vellios (11/1 first, 4/1 anytime) and Drenthe (16/1 first, 6/1 anytime) are both in contention for a first Premier League start after they both came off the bench to score late goals against Wigan.

On the stats side of things Man City and Everton sit second and third in the discipline table with just 9 yellows and no reds between them. Under 4 cards in the match is attractively priced at 6/5 and is pretty certain if it goes to form. Also both sides have averaged 1 goal against so far (1-1 draw 8/1) however man city have managed to find the net 17 times compare to Everton's 6 (2.5 goals over 4/6, under 11/10)

On balance this should be an open game with plenty of goals and Man City running out comfortable winners. My Top Tips for the match would be:

Man City -1 @ 23/20 - They should run out winners by a few goals and is much more value that the 90 mins
Tim Cahill anytime @ 10/3 - Cahill loves playing at the Ehitad and the focal point of Everton's attack is a good punt to continue his record at the stadium.
Over 3.5 goals @ 2/1 - Better value that the odds-on over 2.5 goals and a likely prospect
Anytime Wincast - Yaya Toure & Man City @ 9/2 - With Man City set to win get an extra point on Yaya to score anytime.


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