Rod's Odds - Premier League Darts Week 11, Aberdeen
The Premier League travels to the East coast of Scotland this week and the Granite city of Aberdeen will host week eleven. This could be the closest league ever the way the players are beating each other and bunching up to make a surge for the elusive top four places.
Last week in Sheffield was pretty good for our bets with the main double coming up. Highest check was another good result, as it has been for a number of weeks, and Over on the legs has been the consistent bet and one to carry on with. Gary Anderson, with his win over Peter Wright, has put himself one point away from fourth place, currently occupied by Phil Taylor on ten points after his defeat of Adrian Lewis. Raymond Van Barneveld had the best night, winning both of his games over Wright and Dave Chisnall and I feel that those two wins will secure him a place at the O2. Peter Wright after, a great start and being the surprise package, is now under pressure to hold a fourth place after his two defeats and with one more game to play than everyone apart from Barney he could struggle to make the O2.
I personally feel that Chisnall and Thornton will not get a top four place, however they will now become spoilers and cost someone a place, so that leaves just six players fighting for the four.
Gary Anderson v Adrian Lewis
Okay, this week starts off with a cracker and two of my favourite players. Fast and furious with no time for a cuppa in this match as Anderson takes on Lewis. With both players on ten points in fifth place this is a very crucial game as the winner will keep himself in the mix, the other could be cast adrift with too much to do.
Anderson, for me, is the form player out of the two as he proved last week - there is no doubt that he is playing some of his best darts for a long while as he proved with that convincing win over Wright. Lewis really did not get into his stride against Taylor and has not for a while.
This game for me is another hard-to-call one and the crowd will play apart as they have done in the past. Lewis needs to get into his stride quickly put The Flying Scotsman Gary on the back foot and hush the local crowd while hoping that Anderson has a bad doubles night.
Anderson win going on the form book and the crowd.
Certainly over on the legs.
Have a look at this game to have the most 180s on the night because if one of them starts hitting them early on the pace dictates that the other will follow.
Michael van Gerwen v Phil Taylor
The second game is another cracker, Van Gerwen v Taylor - this is a must win For Phil. He has been playing so much better of late, however there are still signs of the drift into the five, something that Van Gerwen will punish if not straightened out.
There are certain matches that have so much resting on them outside of the actual event and this is one of those. Current World No 1 and World champion taking on the player that he took both of those titles from.
In this match, for me, Taylor will be thinking totally about the Premier league and has one eye on putting the young man in his place. Michael will want to prove that it's not a fluke that he tops all the tables.
For only the second time this year I'm thinking that Van Gerwen may come out on top and, like the first game, it will have over on the legs.
Peter Wright v Dave Chisnall
Peter Wright takes on Dave Chisnall next and it's a must win for Wright - a loss could seriously put him in danger of losing that top four place. Changing his darts once too often may have just taken him off the top of his form but he has bounced back from a loss before and playing the out of sorts Chisnall could give him that chance.
Chisnall's game is just not consistent enough at the moment for this week in week out Premier league. There is just no let up and certainly no easy draws which happens sometimes on the Pro tour.
The form book says Wright but it is such a tough one to call - Chisnall just might get a draw.
Definitely over on the legs again and Chisnall to hit more 180s.
Robert Thornton v Raymond van Barneveld
The penultimate game is bottom of the eight Robert Thornton playing Raymond Van Barneveld and again by league form you would go with Barney, however, Thornton won a tour event at the weekend and not been playing as badly as his position suggests.
Barney hit the big shots at crucial times last week and walked away with two wins. Thornton was unlucky to not get at least a draw out of Van Gerwen so the form line is closer then league position suggests.
Everyone will go for Barney here, however I feel that the form and bottle of Thornton will at least get him a draw - perhaps nick the win - either way I feel that over on the legs again.
Michael van Gerwen v Adrian Lewis
Last game of the night in front of the Scottish crowd sees Michael Van Gerwen vs Adrian Lewis and the second game of the night for these two. Another one of those fast and furious games and, for me, the telling factor could be the crowd again as with the first game. They love the Dutch players when they play the English. Adi has got some stick in Scotland over the year but, if he beats Anderson in the first game, then the crowd may just take a shine to him - that's a lot of ifs.
On the form book it's Michael, however the first game will tell how this ones goes, so if you are in two minds hold off till after that first one.
Another game that could go over on legs.
ROD'S ODDS - BEST BETS
Most of the games are going all the way so this week how about a punt on all five over on legs, 4 folds and an acca. The acca is around 46/1.
My double is Chisnall more 180s then Wright, also Van Gerwen to beat Taylor - pays nearly 2/1.
Keep having a flutter on those draws. A five-draw accumulator pays 1843/1!