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Simon Gott 31st Mar 2014 - 13:26

Rod's Odds - Premier League Darts Judgement Night, Cardiff

The penultimate night before relegation saw the players travel to the O2 in Dublin and a superb, enthusiastic crowd were treated to a great night night of darts. Tips-wise we did not do too badly but Phil Taylor missing too many doubles in the early part of the match let Barneveld in which let me down for the main bet. Barney did, however, give us over on the check-out on the night with the 160 and Chisnall match against Lewis was the match with the most 180's.
We are now at judgement night and with Simon Whitlock the only player already relegated that leaves three other nervy players in Chisnall, Newton and Thornton fighting for their Premier league lives for 2014.
Chisnall is playing Newton and if they draw it means that Thornton will need to get at least a draw out of Taylor to survive. If Newton loses then he cannot survive as his leg difference of -13 cannot beat Thornton on -1 even if Taylor beats him 7-0. If Newton beat Chisnall then it will be down to how many legs Chisnall gets and the result of the Taylor v Thornton game.
Now that's all clear, lets get down to this week's games.
Gary Anderson v Peter Wright
First up matches Gary Anderson against Peter Wright and again, like so many of this year's Premier League matches, this is a hard call. Anderson had a really good result last week when beating Newton and Wright only just lost out to Van Gerwen.
William Hill have Wright the favourite as his match against Mighty Mike was seen to be a better performance than the win of Anderson. I don't see it that way and it also depends on what darts Wright plays with.
Wright played with the bomb shaped ones last week as he finishes well with those, however he scores better with the straight barrel ones and he will need those extra treble twenties if he is to beat Gary, Van Gerwen got frustrated last week and lost focus or he could have beaten Wright a lot easier so Wright has a major choice. What darts does he play with?
I'm going to stick my neck out here and say that Anderson will win or at least get the draw which is 8/13. This will depend on him closing matches out when he has the chance as he will certainly out score Wright.
If you don't fancy the outcome of this one jump on Anderson to hit the most 180s as I feel Wright will stick with bomb shaped darts.
Michael van Gerwen v Simon Whitlock
Stable mates Michael Van Gerwen and Simon Whitlock go head to head next and its been a torrid Premier League for Simon and he can't wait for it to be over so he can get some rest, however he plays a Van Gerwen who is flying and should make short work of this one to stay top of the league going into the second half.
Van Gerwen win all the way at 1/4. You might take a look at William Hill's match treble on him to win, hit most 180s and take the highest checkout.
Adrian Lewis v Raymond van Barneveld
Adrian Lewis takes on Raymond Van Barneveld next and with both players achieving draws last week it's matched up to be a close affair again.
The problem both players have is their consistency leg on leg. It's just not good enough to win the Premier league at the moment but both have the quality and at any time can turn up and blitz the other. Out of the two I feel Adrian has the more fight and determination in his game. Even though Barney did get the draw from Taylor, I feel it was down to the missed doubles in the early part of the game from Taylor or he could have beaten Ray quite easily.
If Barney is to win this game he has got to get out of the gate quicker then he has in other nights, however the same goes for Adi as well.
Another tough call, as they all are, however the easy bet is the draw at 4/1.
Barney has been taking big shots out at the moment so perhaps a flutter on that might be a good bet. Highest match checkout over 121.5 5/6. Barney 10/11 highest checkout in the match.
Wes Newton v Dave Chisnall
When Newton takes on Chisnall it will be for survival. The winner will go on and the loser is out so both players have got to go hammer and tongs from the first dart.
Newton has shown some fight and determination in his game but missed doubles have left him in this position. As for Chisnall lack of consistency has meant he has given some legs up far too easy.
The draw Chisnall would take as it would keep him in - Newton would have to wait on the Thornton result - and if you take the form of both players then that looks like the outcome but I'm going for Chisnall. If he can keep that snatch in his throw at bay then he will win.
Chisnall win for me at 6/5.
Phil Taylor v Robert Thornton
By the time Robert Thornton takes the stage against Phil Taylor he will already know his fate. I do feel, although he has beaten Taylor plenty of times on the big stage, this one may be a task too far for him.
Taylor is coming back to form. In fact, apart from missed doubles he would be back on top form.
Thornton I feel will be hoping that Chisnall does win then can feel more relaxed when playing Phil.
Taylor win 1/2.
Have a look at taking the +1.5 leg handicap on Anderson and Barney as a double. Pays just short of 9/5.
Taylor, Van Gerwen double for you big punters...bang on. £50 returns £93.75
William Hill are doing who wins the first leg may be odds on but look at Taylor and Van Gerwen.
Over on the highest checkout has done us right for a few weeks so lets stick with that again this time.. over 149.5 at 5/6
If you don't fancy all my tips, why not look at the draws? There have been three draws for the last two weeks so doing 3s/4s and 5 folds may not be a bad flutter, it may just come up one of these weeks.

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